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Barclays Capital has named six London-listed stocks to buy as it believes the U.K. stock market is currently "cheap" and "under-owned." Two of the investment bank's picks — Drax Group and IG Holdings — are also predicted to rise by more than 50% in the next 12 months, thanks to several policy tailwinds. Drax Group Drax, which runs one of the last remaining biomass and coal-fueled power stations in the U.K., is one of Barclays' preferred stocks. IG Group Shares of stockbroker IG Group could rise by 55% over the next year to £12 a share, Barclays analysts have said. The investment bank believes a high-interest rate environment allows the stockbroker to earn interest on a customer's deposit, further increasing its profit margins.
A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), January 5, 2023. Andrew Kelly | ReutersComparison chart of U.S. stocks versus European and global peers. "However, if the macro situation in the U.S. were to deteriorate more, history suggests the decoupling between the two markets may not last long." Places like Germany, northern Europe, so I think these again are some of the little factors people have forgotten," he said. "Tourism, again, a big plus for Europe, and then finally the fact that European assets have been undervalued and under owned for some time."
In a sign analysts were unprepared for such optimism, Citi's economic surprise indicator for the euro zone (.CESIEUR) jumped last week to its highest since July 2021. "Companies are telling us that it's going to be harder to pass on rising costs to customers in 2023 as economic growth slows," said Nigel Bolton, co-chief investment officer of BlackRock Fundamental Equities. Fourth-quarter earnings for STOXX 600 companies are forecast to have grown by 10.7% year-on-year, the slowest in two years, according to Refinitiv I/B/E/S data. Earnings are seen bouncing back to growth of 11.4% in the final quarter of the year. Analysts downgrade earnings forecastsReporting by Joice Alves Editing by Josephine Mason and Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
The pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX) was up 0.1% by 0910 GMT, extending gains for a sixth straight day on boost from rate-sensitive technology stocks (.SX8P) and industrials (.SXNP). Richemont (CFR.S) rose 2% on reporting higher quarterly sales as tourists returned to Europe and Japan. Still, the luxury group missed market estimates after sales in China plunged by almost a quarter. "For luxury, China is quite important with more hopes of rebounding activity in the first half of this year," said Emmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays Investment Bank. Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-PhillipsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe aren't excited about health-care stocks, Barclays strategist saysEmmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at the bank, discusses the outlook for European markets in 2023.
Some top equity strategists predict no profit growth or even a decline in earnings. For the U.S. benchmark S&P 500, analysts project full-year 2023 profit growth of 4.7% following estimated growth of 5.7% for all of 2022, based on Refinitiv data. Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse Securities in New York, recently lowered his profit forecast and expects a decline in year-over-year S&P 500 earnings in 2023. "Our analysis shows that both earnings and margins typically contract when global GDP (gross domestic product) growth ran below trend". Earnings breakdown by regionEarnings growth by global sectorBlackRock in its 2023 global outlook said earnings expectations are not yet pricing in a recession.
Chinese cities this week loosened COVID restrictions in the wake of mass protests, lifting Chinese stocks. China's top pandemic official this week appeared to signal a softening in the zero-COVID policy but the government has yet to pledge a comprehensive step-down. Retail investors should be prepared to move defensively should Beijing's decisions on zero-COVID policy go against their respective positions, Martin said. Here's what some market experts are looking at as global investors watch for developments surrounding the Chinese government's zero-COVID stance. "You have to understand that nobody has an edge as to predicting China policy anymore.
For the coming months, though, investors fear euro zone equities could lag other markets. "The economic outlook looks challenging as our economists forecast a recession in the euro zone," said Marc Haefliger, Head of Global Equity Strategy at Credit Suisse in Zurich. The economic slowdown will hit the cyclical euro zone market disproportionately," he added. The STOXX index of the euro zone's top 50 blue chip stocks (.STOXX50E) is seen falling another 7.9% from Friday's close to 3,650 points by mid-2023. Among country benchmarks, Germany's DAX (.GDAXI) is seen ending the first half of 2023 at 13,209, down 9.2% from Friday's close.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors' fear of missing out on the upside is back, analyst saysEmmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays, speaks to CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe."
"The latest round of China reopening hopes have helped drive us higher here again," he told clients. Any change to that scenario may be a positive impulse for cyclical stocks, it said, but it adds to the inflation headache for central banks. "The somewhat negative implication of stronger China growth is that it would likely add to global inflationary pressure. "We suspect Chinese re-opening (will) imply upside risks to commodity prices and global rates." But even with a G20 summit due next week, global cooperation has been in short supply in fractious 2022.
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